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Winter struggles to remain, while spring starts to surge

Dave Hayes operates a daily blog on Facebook (facebook.com/WesternMassWeather), where he produces hyper-local reports, answers questions, and keeps more than 20,000 followers informed and educated about the weather.

Good day, denizens of Windham County!

While we still have a couple of bouts of wintry weather to work through over the next seven days, Spring is most definitely beginning to surge with time. Speaking of which, Happy Spring to you all!

For the upcoming week, we’ve got an Arctic blast to contend with, a warm up, and then an unsettled Friday through Monday period that, at this point, could become a period with all precipitation types possible. As I’ve mentioned before, forecast certainty drops considerably when you are more than 48-72 hours out, so a printed forecast a week in advance can see changes in the Day 4 to Day 7 timeframe. Having said that, to the details we go!

For Wednesday morning, an Arctic cold front will be just slicing through the region, and could bring some scattered snow showers or snow squalls with it. Some coatings to an inch are possible, mainly in western Windham County. Highs will generally settle in the low 20s as west winds pick up and could gust to 40 mph at times.

Otherwise, it should become a partly to mostly sunny day. During the evening, lows will drop into the single digits, and wind chill readings will drop into the single digits below zero! This will be the core of our upcoming brief cold snap.

For Thursday, we’ll have one more unseasonably cold day with highs in the upper 20s to low 30s. It will still be breezy out of the northwest, but winds should begin to slacken. Expect sunny skies. Lows Thursday night will dip into the teens.

By Friday, things become more uncertain. It does appear that as high pressure moves away from the region, a warm front will be extending off of a low pressure system to our northwest, and out towards southern VT. If it gets in here early enough, we could have some warm advection snow in the morning, changing to rain showers in the afternoon with highs in the low 40s.

Beyond that, even more uncertainty comes into play. The current thinking is that the warm front will only make it so far north, and then may slide south again on Saturday afternoon after allowing temps to reach the mid 40s for highs.

Depending on how far south the front travels, and how much cold air moves in, we could see a wave or two of low pressure slide east along it and bring mixed precipitation periods into southern Vermont Saturday night through Monday. Expect periods of unsettled weather this weekend and into early next week, with some warming possible by next Tuesday.

Have a great week!

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Originally published in The Commons issue #400 (Wednesday, March 22, 2017).

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