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Unsettled weather woes continue, severe weather possible Wednesday

Dave Hayes maintains a daily blog on Facebook (, where he produces hyper-local reports, answers questions, and keeps more than 25,000 followers informed and educated about the weather.

Good day to you! We’ve got more unsettled weather on the way, I’m afraid.

It was nice for a while, because we were in a drought situation and, in some areas, the drought was severe for a time. But now, the drought has been fully mitigated in Windham County, and we really need more stretches of dry, sunny, and warm weather.

However, that is not in the cards over the next week, and this setup could last into at least the middle of June. I wish I had better news for farmers and gardeners!

For Wednesday, we’ll have an upper low pressure system well to our north in southern Canada, and a cold front will be draped to its south and west over New York state. This front will be sweeping east, and out ahead of it we will have strong winds aloft. At the same time, the freezing layer aloft (the altitude at which the air is at 32 degrees or below) will be lowering to about a mile and half up in the air.

Given all these parameters, strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday afternoon and evening, with the main threats being damaging, gusty winds, as well as hail. Highs will be in the mid 60s to low 70s, and lows will drop into the upper 40s to low 50s. Any showers and storms should dissipate at night.

For Thursday, high pressure will briefly build into the region, and should allow for a mostly sunny day with light winds. Highs should crest into the 60s, with lows in the mid to upper 40s.

For Friday, another disturbance will move through our region, setting us up again for scattered showers and thunderstorms. The onset of unsettled weather is uncertain as of this writing, but anytime during the afternoon and evening hours we could see some weather kick up. Highs will be in the upper 60s and lows in the low to mid 50s.

For now, the weekend looks pretty nice, with generally partly sunny skies and highs in the 60s and lows in the upper 40s. However, by Sunday, there are indications that we could see a fairly robust upper level low pressure system dive southeast out of Canada and into New England.

If this becomes our reality, we could be talking about more showery weather with below-average temperatures for the latter half of Sunday into Tuesday. Highs should remain in the 60s during this period the way it looks now. Have a great week!

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Originally published in The Commons issue #410 (Wednesday, May 31, 2017).

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