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Mid-week warmth begets cooler, wintry mix into the weekend

Dave Hayes maintains a daily blog on Facebook (facebook.com/WesternMassWeather), where he produces hyper-local reports, answers questions, and keeps more than 25,000 followers informed and educated about the weather.

Good day to you, denizen of the windy hamlet in southeastern Vermont! We have an unseasonably warm Wednesday to enjoy before a cold front sweeps the region, and sets us up for up to three storm systems, all of which could bring a mix of snow, ice and rain to the region. Early next week looks calmer and drier. However, there are impressive signals that indicate we could see a large high pressure system set up over Greenland and then drift westward, which could block the traffic flow of our atmosphere. This coupled with some buckling in the eastern Pacific jet stream could mean a colder and snowier setup during the first half of March, and perhaps the entire month, so I will keep you abreast of any atmospheric developments in that department. With that said, let’s jump into the details!

For Wednesday, a warm front will be positioned well north of our area, and this will allow high temperatures to reach into the mid 60s! This will likely break some records across New England. The one fly in the ointment would be if low level clouds persist, which some guidance is indicating could happen. This could tamp temps down into the 50s to low 60s, so that potential exists. A cold front moves through Wednesday night with scattered rain showers and lows in the low 30s.

For Thursday, another storm system will ride along that cold front as it passes south and could bring us a period of mixed rain and snow in the afternoon, lasting into the evening. Some light accumulations are possible, especially in the high terrain. Highs will be in the middle 30s and lows drop into the low to mid 20s as snow quits by midnight.

For Friday, yet another storm system will be tracking east-northeast out of the center of the country and through New England. Snow should redevelop Friday morning, but may mix with rain and ice in spots. Additional light accumulations are possible as highs will reach into the 30s and lows will drop into the upper 20s to low 30s as snow and rain showers continue to be possible.

While more uncertain, the potential exists for an inclement weekend with mixed rain and snow possible, especially Saturday night into Sunday. Highs on Saturday will be in the low 40s, and upper 30s for highs on Sunday. Rain and snow may last into Sunday night and Monday before we calm down as we move through the early week period. Have a great week!

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Originally published in The Commons issue #447 (Wednesday, February 21, 2018). This story appeared on page A5.

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