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Drought dent realized, but fair weather returns

Dave Hayes is a self-described “weather nut” (a term he prefers to “enthusiast”) who lives in western Massachusetts, his home for almost 30 years. He operates a daily blog on Facebook (, where he produces hyper-local reports, answers questions, and keeps more than 20,000 followers informed and educated about the weather that will impact their plans and lives.

Hello, southern Vermonters! Well, we certainly got some much-needed rain in a number of locations over the past several days. And while some received more than others, we enjoyed 1 to 2 inches of rainfall on average, with some higher amounts in certain towns. Overall, it was a substantial improvement from prior weeks.

While I wish the rain train would continue, it’s time to disembark and experience plenty of fair weather during the week ahead.

* * *

For Wednesday, high pressure will be cresting overhead, allowing for warmer, drier, and sunnier weather to dominate our environs. Highs in the upper 70s in the mountains, and low 80s in the valleys should be the norm through Friday, with lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s. It will be sunny during the day and clear at night. The only exception is the potential for a pop-shower in the mountains Wednesday and Thursday afternoon.

As we approach Friday, high pressure moves to the east allowing the humidity to start building again. Friday and Saturday will feature that summer feel for sure!

A low-pressure system in Québec will pull a cold front through southern Vermont sometime around Friday night to Saturday morning. Because of the expected overnight frontal passage, any thunderstorms that do develop should be at sub-severe levels. (Remember, a severe thunderstorm contains wind gusts of 58 m.p.h. or greater and/or large hail of 1 inch or greater in diameter.)

Wind shear looks substantial at this time, so a strong storm can’t be ruled out amidst the garden variety showers and storms accompanied by the average frontal passage.

Saturday’s highs will reach into the low to mid 80s, and scattered showers may last into the evening.

By Sunday, we clear out and begin to dry, with highs in the upper 70s, and sunny, fair weather. High pressure will continue to build into the region, and we should see more sunshine with highs in the upper 70s Monday and Tuesday.

Please remember that beyond 72 hours, forecast accuracy goes down fairly substantially. And it’s also worth nothing that while you experience a given air temperature near the Connecticut River to the east, temperatures drop off by 5 to as much as 10 degrees in the mountainous region of the western and northern parts of Windham County.

Have a great week!

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Originally published in The Commons issue #368 (Wednesday, August 3, 2016). This story appeared on page A3.

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